P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Fulham — Brighton

Predictions by Market: Fulham vs Brighton

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 24 Jan · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee Michael Oliver, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FUL
37%
Best 2.56
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · BRI
37%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 2.80
Fair odds
2.71
book 2.80 · +3.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 37% · EV +3.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (37%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 37%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 27.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.4%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 37%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 37.3%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FUL – BRI @ 2.80
+3.4%
Edge
Forecast →