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Home France Ligue 1 Nantes — Strasbourg

Match Nantes vs Strasbourg March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

France   /   Ligue 1
Nantes
Nantes
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 19:45
2:3
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Stade de la Beaujoire · Nantes Referee Mathieu Vernice, France
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.10
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.92
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.06
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.67 – 2.15
Δ −0.48
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Strasbourg arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand at Stade de la Beaujoire. Nantes’ defensive struggles and home momentum are limited, while Strasbourg’s sharper attack against a vulnerable defense could unlock chances. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but both sides may struggle to convert consistently.

  • Strasbourg’s superior overall strength and offensive edge
  • Nantes’ defensive frailties and patchy form
  • Moderate tempo likely to favor tactical discipline over wild attacking

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

NAN 4-3-3 · STR 4-2-3-1
Subs used · NAN
81' Leroux ↑ · Tabibou
81' Guirassy ↑ · Kaba
86' Cabella ↑ · Sissoko
Subs used · STR
46' Panichelli ↑ · D. Fofana
62' Ouattara ↑ · Hogsberg
62' El Mourabet ↑ · Oyedele
62' Yassine ↑ · Amo-Ameyaw
76' Enciso ↑ · Omobamidele

📊 Statistics

NAN 23 STR
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.67
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.15
14
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
1
9
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
17
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
3
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

19 · 2 – 3
D. Tabibou
Assist · M. Abline · 1–0
6'
16'
Valentín Barco
Yellow Card
29'
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Yellow Card
45'
M. Oyedele
Assist · S. Amo-Ameyaw · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
46'
J. Panichelli ↓ · D. D. Fofana ↑
Substitution 1
Ibrahima Sissoko
Yellow Card
45+3'
Johann Lepenant
Yellow Card
51'
M. Abline
Assist · C. Awaziem · 2–1
53'
58'
Maxi Oyedele
Yellow Card
62'
A. Ouattara ↓ · L. Hogsberg ↑
Substitution 2
62'
S. El Mourabet ↓ · M. Oyedele ↑
Substitution 3
62'
G. Yassine ↓ · S. Amo-Ameyaw ↑
Substitution 4
76'
J. Enciso ↓ · A. Omobamidele ↑
Substitution 5
78'
J. Panichelli
Assist · G. Yassine · 2–2
L. Leroux ↓ · D. Tabibou ↑
Substitution 1
81'
B. Guirassy ↓ · M. Kaba ↑
Substitution 2
81'
R. Cabella ↓ · I. Sissoko ↑
Substitution 3
86'
90'
J. Panichelli
2–3
Bahereba Guirassy
Yellow Card
90+1'
Full-time · 2 – 3

Match recap

Strasbourg won 3–2 away at Nantes. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 91% of their passes. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: D. Tabibou (6'), M. Oyedele (45'), M. Abline (53'), J. Panichelli (78'), J. Panichelli (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.21 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.10 55% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.92 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.06 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.05 45% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.85 48% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.83 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.69 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.75 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 80% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.52 55% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 91% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.33 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.71 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.55 24% Cashed +2.55 Cashed
Home Win 3.70 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.21u −13% ROI