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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football France Ligue 1 Lens — Metz

Match Lens vs Metz March 8, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 D D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 08 Mar · 14:00
3:0
Full-time
Metz
Metz
L D L L D Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee Mathieu Vernice, France
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 61% · book 1.71
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.63
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 2.03
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
3.04 – 0.40
Δ +2.64
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Lens arrives with strong home momentum, showing solid form and a clear quality edge over Metz. Their attacking prowess meets a vulnerable Metz defense, suggesting Lens can control the tempo and create chances. Metz’s recent struggles and defensive frailties make it tough to see them holding off Lens’ pressing and set-piece threats.

  • Lens’ home edge and attacking efficiency
  • Metz’s defensive weaknesses and poor form
  • Likely moderate to high pace with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · MET 5-3-2
Subs used · LEN
46' Haidara ↑ · Celik
63' Sotoca ↑ · Thauvin
63' Fofana ↑ · Edouard
73' Bulatovic ↑ · Sangare
83' Bermont ↑ · Sima
Subs used · MET
46' Deminguet ↑ · Traore
54' Hein ↑ · Kvilitaia
54' Mbala ↑ · Munongo
72' Tsitaishvili ↑ · Sarr
73' Mboula ↑ · Ballo-Toure

📊 Statistics

LEN 30 MET
52%
Possession (%)
48%
3.04
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.40
23
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
0
11
Shots off Target
2
18
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
17
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
14'
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Yellow Card
S. Abdulhamid
Assist · A. Sima · 1–0
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
A. Haidara ↓ · N. Celik ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
J. Deminguet ↓ · B. Traore ↑
Substitution 1
F. Thauvin
Assist · A. Thomasson · 2–0
46'
49'
Alpha Touré
Yellow Card
A. Haidara
Assist · M. Udol · 3–0
52'
54'
G. Hein ↓ · G. Kvilitaia ↑
Substitution 2
54'
N. Mbala ↓ · B. Munongo ↑
Substitution 3
F. Sotoca ↓ · F. Thauvin ↑
Substitution 2
63'
R. Fofana ↓ · O. Edouard ↑
Substitution 3
63'
72'
G. Tsitaishvili ↓ · B. Sarr ↑
Substitution 4
A. Bulatovic ↓ · M. Sangare ↑
Substitution 4
73'
73'
U. Mboula ↓ · F. Ballo-Toure ↑
Substitution 5
A. Bermont ↓ · A. Sima ↑
Substitution 5
83'
90'
Urie-Michel Mboula
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.71 61% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.63 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.03 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.32 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.36 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.08 94% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Home Win 1.30 77% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.52 60% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.05 77% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.60 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 81% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.06 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 11.60 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.45 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.23u −37% ROI