Model verdict
Model leans toward Lens to win — 60% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 60% | Lens win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 55% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 83% | X2 |
- 1X2 Lens win 60%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 55%
- Double Chance X2 83%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Estac Troyes
W/D/L
1-0-4
Goals (for / against)
4 / 13
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
2/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.36 / 1.23
Lens
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.60 / 1.37
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Estac Troyes wins when scoring first
33%
①
Lens wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Estac Troyes BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Lens BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Estac Troyes Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Lens Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Estac Troyes comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Lens comeback rate · last 10
0%
Goal timing
Estac Troyes · last 10 at home
0–15
11%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
22%
76–90
33%
Lens · last 10 away
0–15
0%
16–30
11%
31–45
26%
46–60
37%
61–75
11%
76–90
16%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
