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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Estac Troyes — Lens

Predictions by Market: Estac Troyes vs Lens

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 18:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Aube · Troyes

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TRO
17%
Best 4.30
Draw
23%
Best 4.04
Away Win · LEN
60%
Best 1.87
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.90
Fair odds
4.54
book 4.90 · +8.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +8.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (78%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 17.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.36
Show model details
Implied probability 42.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.2%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.2%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 17.4%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 40.5%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TRO – LEN @ 4.90
+8.0%
Edge
Forecast →