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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › France › Ligue 1 › Marseille — Strasbourg

Match Marseille vs Strasbourg February 14, 2026

France   /   Ligue 1
Marseille
Marseille
Home · last 5 L D L W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 16:00
2:2
Full-time
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
W L D W W Away · last 5
Orange Vélodrome · Marseille Referee François Letexier, France
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 63% · book 1.72 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.66 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 41% · book 2.55 ✓
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.46 – 2.02
Δ −0.56
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Marseille holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite mixed recent form. Their attacking strength should challenge Strasbourg's defense, which has been vulnerable. Strasbourg's recent upturn offers some hope, but Marseille's home edge and higher scoring potential suggest a match leaning towards goals and a home win.

  • Marseille's offensive pressure against Strasbourg's leaky defense
  • Home advantage at Orange Vélodrome
  • Strasbourg's improved form but overall lower quality

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAR 4-2-3-1 · STR 4-2-3-1
MAR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · STR 1 Rulli 22 Weah 28 Pavard 21 Aguerd 33 Palmieri 23 Højbjerg 27 Timber 10 Greenwood ⚽ 26 Nadir 17 Aubameyang 9 Gouiri ⚽ 39 Penders 22 Doué 24 Høgsberg 2 Omobamidele 3 Chilwell 32 Barco 29 Mourabet 7 Moreira 19 Enciso 20 Godo 9 Panichelli ⚽
Subs used · MAR
71' Abdelli ↑ · Nadir ↓
71' Paixao ↑ · Aubameyang ↓
85' Medina ↑ · Gouiri ↓
Subs used · STR
46' Ouattara ↑ · El Mourabet ↓
63' Nanasi ↑ · Enciso ↓
63' Yassine ↑ · Hogsberg ↓
85' D. Fofana ↑ · Chilwell ↓
90+9' Anselmino ↑

📊 Statistics

MAR 2 – 2 STR
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.46
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.02
10
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
10
5
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
7
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
4
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

18 · 2 – 2
M. Greenwood
Assist · A. Gouiri · 1–0
⚽
14'
Benjamin Pavard
Yellow Card
▮
26'
Nayef Aguerd
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
A. Ouattara ↓ · S. El Mourabet ↑
Substitution 1
A. Gouiri
2–0
⚽
47'
63'
⇄
S. Nanasi ↓ · J. Enciso ↑
Substitution 2
63'
⇄
G. Yassine ↓ · L. Hogsberg ↑
Substitution 3
H. Abdelli ↓ · B. Nadir ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
I. Paixao ↓ · P. Aubameyang ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
71'
Igor Paixão
Yellow Card
▮
72'
73'
⚽
S. Nanasi
Assist · M. Godo · 2–1
83'
▮
Joaquin Panichelli
Yellow Card
F. Medina ↓ · A. Gouiri ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
85'
⇄
D. D. Fofana ↓ · B. Chilwell ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⚽
J. Panichelli (P)
Penalty · 2–2
Timothy Weah
Yellow Card
▮
90+8'
90+9'
▮
Valentín Barco
Yellow Card
90+9'
⇄
A. Anselmino ↓ ·
Substitution 5
Full-time · 2 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.72 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.66 — 62% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.55 — 41% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 60% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
BTTS No 2.33 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.42 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.29 — 37% Cashed +1.29 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.21 — 85% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.30 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 — 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.35 — 22% Cashed +3.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.00 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 17.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.00 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.72 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.05u −6% ROI