Strasbourg vs Stade Brestois 29 1:2

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.95 — +14.5% better than the market.

Strasbourg arrives with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite patchy recent form. Their offensive strength should challenge Brest's defense, which has been somewhat vulnerable. Brest’s more cautious recent results suggest a compact block approach, but Strasbourg’s pressing edge and home support could tilt the balance.

Home side’s attacking threat vs away defense
Strasbourg’s home advantage and higher quality
Brest’s steady but less potent form

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.95 ✗ Lost

AI 39% Implied 34% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

STR 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

STR · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

9 Panichelli

Subs used · STR

57'

Moreira ↑ ·

Paez ↓

57'

Godo ↑ ·

Amo-Ameyaw ↓

69'

Emegha ↑ ·

Chilwell ↓

84'

Nanasi ↑

Subs used · BRE

46'

Le Cardinal ↑ ·

Chardonnet ↓

65'

Labeau Lascary ↑ ·

Mboup ↓

76'

Tousart ↑ ·

Doumbia ↓

76'

Balde ↑ ·

Del Castillo ↓

Statistics

STR 1 – 2 BRE

57%

Possession (%)

43%

0.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.13

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 2

S. Amo-Ameyaw

Assist · B. Chilwell · 1–0

⚽

11'

44'

▮

Brendan Chardonnet

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

J. Le Cardinal ↓ · B. Chardonnet ↑

Substitution 1

55'

⚽

R. Del Castillo (P)

Penalty · 1–1

D. Moreira ↓ · K. Paez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

M. Godo ↓ · S. Amo-Ameyaw ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

57'

65'

⇄

R. Labeau Lascary ↓ · P. Mboup ↑

Substitution 2

E. Emegha ↓ · B. Chilwell ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

76'

⇄

L. Tousart ↓ · K. Doumbia ↑

Substitution 3

76'

⇄

M. Balde ↓ · R. Del Castillo ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⚽

H. Magnetti

Assist · M. Balde · 1–2

S. Nanasi ↓ ·

Substitution 4

⇄

84'

90'

▮

Ludovic Ajorque

Yellow Card

90+2'

▮

Kenny Lala

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 away at Strasbourg. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: S. Amo-Ameyaw (11'), R. Del Castillo (55'), H. Magnetti (82').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.08 units (Brier 0.249).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.90	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	60%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	59%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
BTTS No	2.25	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.15	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.06	—	41%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.95	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	61%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.36	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	81%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	95%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.86	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.20	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.41	—	17%	Cashed	+3.41	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.30	—	17%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.08u	+0% ROI

Strasbourg vs Stade Brestois 29 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled