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Strasbourg vs Angers 5:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 15:15
5:0
Full-time
Angers
Angers
D L L D D Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee Guillaume Paradis, France
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 30% · book 3.70 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.94 ✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 19% · book 5.83 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
xG (open play)
4.61 – 0.32
Δ +4.29
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
2 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.70 — +11.0% better than the market.

Strasbourg vs Angers — betting preview

Hosts bring the cleaner overall profile and a sturdier defensive shape at home. Angers’ recent trend is brittle away from base, relying on moments rather than sustained pressure. Expect Strasbourg to control territory and set-piece threat, with game state keeping a lid on total goals unless the home side strikes early.

Our numbers lean home-favoured outcomes and a slightly lower-scoring script. The safer angles tilt toward under lines and draw-protected road positions.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.70 ✗ Lost
AI 30% Implied 27% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

STR 3-4-2-1 · ANG 4-3-3
Subs used · STR
73' Luis ↑ · Barco ↓
73' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Godo ↓
73' Enciso ↑ · Lemarechal ↓
77' Omobamidele ↑ · Hogsberg ↓
84' Paez ↑ · Panichelli ↓
Subs used · ANG
63' Hanin ↑ · Raolisoa ↓
63' Cherif ↑ · Kalumba ↓
73' Camara ↑ · Biumla ↓
73' Mouton ↑ · Abdelli ↓
81' Courcoul ↑ · Belkebla ↓

Statistics

STR 5 – 0 ANG
66%
Possession (%)
34%
4.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.32
18
Total Shots
5
12
Shots on Target
1
3
Shots off Target
1
14
Shots Inside Box
4
2
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
11
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

19 · 5 – 0
6'
▮
Haris Belkebla
Yellow Card
Valentín Barco
Yellow Card
▮
26'
J. Panichelli
Assist · V. Barco · 1–0
⚽
36'
Half-time · 1 – 0
J. Panichelli
Assist · F. Lemarechal · 2–0
⚽
51'
Diego Moreira
Yellow Card
▮
59'
A. Ouattara
Assist · G. Doue · 3–0
⚽
61'
63'
⇄
F. Hanin ↓ · L. Raolisoa ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
S. Cherif ↓ · J. Kalumba ↑
Substitution 2
M. Godo
Assist · F. Lemarechal · 4–0
⚽
66'
M. Godo
5–0
⚽
70'
R. Luis ↓ · V. Barco ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
73'
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · M. Godo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
73'
J. Enciso ↓ · F. Lemarechal ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
O. Camara ↓ · E. Biumla ↑
Substitution 3
73'
⇄
L. Mouton ↓ · H. Abdelli ↑
Substitution 4
A. Omobamidele ↓ · L. Hogsberg ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
79'
▮
Ousmane Camara
Yellow Card
81'
⇄
M. Courcoul ↓ · H. Belkebla ↑
Substitution 5
K. Paez ↓ · J. Panichelli ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

Strasbourg beat Angers 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.61 to 0.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 5, 12 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: J. Panichelli (36'), J. Panichelli (51'), A. Ouattara (61'), M. Godo (66'), M. Godo (70').

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 2 landed and 5 missed, for a net -3.49 units (Brier 0.148).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 2 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 1.5 3.70 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.94 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.83 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.85 — 56% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.38 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.14 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.66 — 57% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 2 W · 5 L −3.49u −50% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
STR – ANG @ 3.70
+11.0%
Edge
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