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Arsenal vs Liverpool 0:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Arsenal
Arsenal
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Thu 08 Jan · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Emirates Stadium · London Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.68 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.81 ✗
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.83 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.45 – 0.36
Δ +0.09
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.00 — +13.3% better than the market.

Arsenal arrive with strong home momentum, boasting a perfect recent run and a clear quality edge over Liverpool. Their potent attack faces a Liverpool defense that has struggled to contain high-caliber offenses, suggesting Arsenal’s pressing and creativity could unlock chances. Liverpool’s recent form shows resilience but less consistency, and Arsenal’s compact block at Emirates should limit their opportunities.

  • Home side’s attacking edge against away defense
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Potential for a lively, goal-rich encounter given both sides’ offensive traits

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 3.00 ✗ Lost
AI 38% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ARS 4-3-3 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · ARS
57' Lewis-Skelly ↑ · Hincapie ↓
64' Jesus ↑ · Gyökeres ↓
64' Martinelli ↑ · Trossard ↓
78' Eze ↑ · Odegaard ↓
78' Madueke ↑ · Saka ↓
Subs used · LIV
90+5' Gomez ↑ · Bradley ↓

Statistics

ARS 0 – 0 LIV
48%
Possession (%)
52%
0.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.36
9
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
2
3
Corner Kicks
0
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
9
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

10 · 0 – 0
Leandro Trossard
Yellow Card
▮
12'
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Lewis-Skelly ↓ · P. Hincapie ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
57'
Gabriel Jesus ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
64'
G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
64'
E. Eze ↓ · M. Odegaard ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
N. Madueke ↓ · B. Saka ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
90'
▮
Alexis Mac Allister
Yellow Card
Gabriel Martinelli
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+3'
▮
Ibrahima Konaté
Yellow Card
90+5'
⇄
J. Gomez ↓ · C. Bradley ↑
Substitution 1
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Arsenal and Liverpool drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 3 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +15.24 units (Brier 0.393).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.68 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.81 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 43% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.17 — 40% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.45 — 35% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.20 — 87% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 62% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 81% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 95% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.40 — 22% Cashed +3.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.33 — 19% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.20 — 5% Cashed +13.20 Cashed
Away Win 5.49 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.29 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +15.24u +90% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
ARS – LIV @ 3.00
+13.3%
Edge
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