Match Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest January 3, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Aston Villa enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over Nottingham Forest. Villa’s attacking threat is well-matched against Forest’s defense, while their compact block and home crowd support should limit Forest’s chances. Nottingham Forest’s recent form shows signs of revival, but the gap in overall strength and Villa’s pressing edge likely tilt control to the hosts.

Villa’s home form and offensive edge
Forest’s defensive resilience tested
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

AST 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-5-1

AST · 4-2-3-1 4-5-1 · NOT

11 Watkins ⚽

Subs used · AST

69'

Digne ↑ ·

Maatsen ↓

69'

Sancho ↑ ·

Buendia ↓

83'

Bogarde ↑ ·

McGinn ↓

83'

Malen ↑ ·

Watkins ↓

90'

Garcia ↑ ·

Cash ↓

Subs used · NOT

69'

McAtee ↑ ·

Bakwa ↓

69'

Savona ↑ ·

Aina ↓

78'

Sels ↑ ·

Victor ↓

83'

Luiz ↑ ·

Dominguez ↓

83'

Kalimuendo ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

📊 Statistics

AST 3 – 1 NOT

73%

Possession (%)

27%

1.64

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.89

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

17 · 3 – 1

O. Watkins

Assist · M. Rogers · 1–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 1 – 0

J. McGinn

Assist · M. Cash · 2–0

⚽

49'

61'

⚽

M. Gibbs-White

Assist · D. Bakwa · 2–1

65'

▮

Dilane Bakwa

Yellow Card

L. Digne ↓ · I. Maatsen ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

69'

J. Sancho ↓ · E. Buendia ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

69'

⇄

J. McAtee ↓ · D. Bakwa ↑

Substitution 1

69'

⇄

N. Savona ↓ · O. Aina ↑

Substitution 2

J. McGinn

Assist · Y. Tielemans · 3–1

⚽

73'

78'

⇄

M. Sels ↓ · John Victor ↑

Substitution 3

L. Bogarde ↓ · J. McGinn ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

83'

D. Malen ↓ · O. Watkins ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

⇄

Douglas Luiz ↓ · N. Dominguez ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

A. Kalimuendo ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 5

89'

▮

James McAtee

Yellow Card

A. Garcia ↓ · M. Cash ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Lamare Bogarde

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.05	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.84	—	61%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	46%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.89	—	43%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.09	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.90	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.23	—	85%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.38	—	61%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.20	—	23%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.28	—	69%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Away Win	4.82	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.49	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.33u	−20% ROI