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⚽ Football 57 ＋ Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Atalanta

Match AC Milan vs Atalanta May 10, 2026

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 18:45
2:3
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.18 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.87 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.08 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.94 – 1.08
Δ +0.86
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AC Milan holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Atalanta's slightly less effective backline, suggesting a tactical battle where Milan's compact block could limit Atalanta's attacking threats. Recent form favors Milan slightly, hinting at home momentum despite some inconsistency.

  • Milan's defensive strength vs Atalanta's attack
  • Home edge supports Milan's control
  • Moderate scoring pace expected, aligned with odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MIL 3-5-2 · ATA 3-4-2-1
MIL · 3-5-2 3-4-2-1 · ATA 16 Maignan 5 De Winter 46 Gabbia 31 Pavlovic ⚽ 56 Saelemaekers 8 Loftus-Cheek 4 Ricci 12 Rabiot 33 Bartesaghi 7 Gimenez 10 Leao 29 Carnesecchi 42 Scalvini 4 Hien 23 Kolasinac 77 Zappacosta ⚽ 15 De Roon 13 Ederson ⚽ 59 Zalewski 17 De Ketelaere 18 Raspadori ⚽ 90 Krstovic
Subs used · MIL
46' Nkunku ↑ · Loftus-Cheek ↓
58' Fofana ↑ · Leao ↓
58' Fullkrug ↑ · Gimenez ↓
58' Athekame ↑ · De Winter ↓
80' Estupinan ↑ · Bartesaghi ↓
Subs used · ATA
48' Kossounou ↑ · Scalvini ↓
55' Bellanova ↑ · Zappacosta ↓
63' Ahanor ↑ · Kossounou ↓
63' Pasalic ↑ · De Ketelaere ↓

📊 Statistics

MIL 2 – 3 ATA
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.94
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.08
20
Total Shots
9
9
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
17
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
4
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8

⏱ Match events

20 · 2 – 3
7'
⚽
Ederson
0–1
29'
⚽
D. Zappacosta
Assist · N. Krstovic · 0–2
R. Leao
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Half-time · 0 – 2
C. Nkunku ↓ · R. Loftus-Cheek ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
48'
⇄
O. Kossounou ↓ · G. Scalvini ↑
Substitution 1
52'
⚽
G. Raspadori
Assist · Ederson · 0–3
55'
⇄
R. Bellanova ↓ · D. Zappacosta ↑
Substitution 2
Y. Fofana ↓ · R. Leao ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
58'
N. Fullkrug ↓ · S. Gimenez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
58'
Z. Athekame ↓ · K. De Winter ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
58'
63'
⇄
H. Ahanor ↓ · O. Kossounou ↑
Substitution 3
63'
⇄
M. Pasalic ↓ · C. De Ketelaere ↑
Substitution 4
70'
▮
I. Hien
Yellow Card
P. Estupinan ↓ · D. Bartesaghi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
80'
S. Pavlovic
Assist · S. Ricci · 1–3
⚽
88'
P. Estupinan
Yellow Card
▮
90'
A. Saelemaekers
Yellow Card
▮
90'
C. Nkunku (P)
Penalty · 2–3
⚽
90+4'
90+5'
▮
N. Krstovic
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
R. Bellanova
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.18 2.25 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.87 1.91 53% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.08 1.91 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 2.05 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.72 56% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.76 1.67 46% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.66 2.40 20% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.32 1.34 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.40 1.30 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 3.26 32% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.57 1.62 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.02 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.25 1.28 76% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.00 3.60 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 3.28 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 10.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.72 3.39 20% Cashed +2.72 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.02u −0% ROI