P
Prognosist
P
Home Italy Serie A AC Milan — Atalanta

Predictions AC Milan vs Atalanta May 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 18:45
2:3
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza · Milano Referee Luca Zufferli, Italy
Home Win · MIL
54%
Best 2.34
Draw
26%
Best 3.33
Away Win · ATA
20%
Best 3.50
Value pick
Double Chance 1X
@ 1.32
Fair odds
1.25
book 1.32 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 80% · EV +5.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.9%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.2%
Odds 3.72
Show model details
Implied probability 26.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 31.6%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.7%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.2%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 46.1%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
MIL – ATA @ 1.32
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →