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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — Atalanta

Prediction: AC Milan vs Atalanta, October 18

Italy   /   Serie A
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 W D D W D
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct · 16:00
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Atalanta
Atalanta
W L L L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
51%
Best 1.92
Draw
26%
Best 3.86
Away Win · ATA
23%
Best 4.22
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
AC Milan
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 7 / 6
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-3-0
xG (for / against) 1.30 / 1.03
Atalanta
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 6 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-2
xG (for / against) 1.05 / 1.60

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.83
Goals Scored
1.33
0.83
Goals Conceded
1.33
1.33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
4.50
Shots on Target
4.67
3.17
Corners
3.67
60.33
Possession (%)
46.17
110.26
Efficiency index
106.70
135.83
Adjusted index
75.79
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
75
OFF · home
20
100
DEF · home
20
40
OFF · away
15
60
DEF · away
30
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
AC Milan wins when scoring first
57%
①
Atalanta wins when scoring first
80%
⚽
AC Milan BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Atalanta BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
AC Milan Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Atalanta Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
AC Milan comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Atalanta comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

AC Milan · last 10 at home

0–15 17%
16–30 0%
31–45 17%
46–60 17%
61–75 33%
76–90 17%

Atalanta · last 10 away

0–15 14%
16–30 14%
31–45 21%
46–60 29%
61–75 7%
76–90 14%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.

Top scorers

Diego Moreira
MIL · Midfielder
3 G · 2.13 g/90
A. Rabiot
MIL · Midfielder
2 G · 0.59 g/90
N. Krstović
ATA · Attacker
1 G · 0.93 g/90
G. Raspadori
ATA · Attacker
1 G