Newcastle vs Crystal Palace 2:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.73 — +7.7% better than the market.

Newcastle holds a clear edge at St. James' Park, backed by stronger overall quality and a solid home defensive record that should challenge Crystal Palace's attack. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Palace struggles to maintain consistency on the road. Expect a tactical battle where Newcastle's compact block and pressing edge could limit Palace's chances.

Home momentum with better recent points per game
Defensive solidity vs. away offensive threat
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal expectations

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.73 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 58% +0.73u

+73%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NEW 4-3-3 · CRY 3-4-2-1

NEW · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · CRY

10 Gordon

Subs used · NEW

63'

Barnes ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

63'

Livramento ↑ ·

Hall ↓

63'

Ramsey ↑ ·

Tonali ↓

78'

Woltemade ↑ ·

Wissa ↓

88'

Willock ↑ ·

Murphy ↓

Subs used · CRY

38'

Canvot ↑ ·

Lerma ↓

52'

Devenny ↑ ·

Clyne ↓

72'

Uche ↑ ·

Johnson ↓

87'

Esse ↑ ·

Pino ↓

87'

Rodney ↑ ·

Wharton ↓

87'

Drakes-Thomas ↑ ·

Mateta ↓

Statistics

NEW 2 – 0 CRY

59%

Possession (%)

41%

1.88

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

17 · 2 – 0

33'

▮

Brennan Johnson

Yellow Card

38'

⇄

J. Canvot ↓ · J. Lerma ↑

Substitution 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

49'

▮

Tyrick Mitchell

Yellow Card

52'

⇄

J. Devenny ↓ · N. Clyne ↑

Substitution 2

55'

▮

Marc Guéhi

Yellow Card

Anthony Gordon

Yellow Card

▮

62'

H. Barnes ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

V. Livramento ↓ · L. Hall ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

J. Ramsey ↓ · S. Tonali ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

63'

Bruno Guimaraes

Assist · L. Miley · 1–0

⚽

71'

72'

⇄

C. Uche ↓ · B. Johnson ↑

Substitution 3

N. Woltemade ↓ · Y. Wissa ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

M. Thiaw

2–0

⚽

78'

87'

⇄

R. Esse ↓ · Y. Pino ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⇄

K. Rodney ↓ · A. Wharton ↑

Substitution 5

87'

⇄

J. Drakes-Thomas ↓ · J. Mateta ↑

Substitution 6

J. Willock ↓ · J. Murphy ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

88'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Newcastle beat Crystal Palace 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.70. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Bruno Guimaraes (71'), M. Thiaw (78').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.81 units (Brier 0.121).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.73	—	62%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.86	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.78	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	—	46%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.26	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	85%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	68%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.31	—	62%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.27	—	78%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	93%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.30	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.10	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.23	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.67	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.81u	−28% ROI

Newcastle vs Crystal Palace 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled