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Home World UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven — Shakhtar Donetsk

Predictions PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk September 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 D W W W W
Kick-off
Thu 10 Sep · 16:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
W W W L W Away · last 5
Home Win · PSV
61%
Best 1.47
Draw
20%
Best 5.23
Away Win · SHA
20%
Best 6.86
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.23
Fair odds
5.04
book 5.23 · +3.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +3.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (60%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 7.14
Show model details
Implied probability 14%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 19.8%
Odds 5.23
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.4%
Odds 22.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.7%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 42.3%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 19.7%
Odds 5.25
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.5%
Odds 2.97
Show model details
Implied probability 33.7%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
PSV – SHA @ 5.23
+3.7%
Edge
Forecast →