P
Prognosist
P
Home World UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven — Shakhtar Donetsk

Preview PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk September 10, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 D W W W W
Kick-off
Thu 10 Sep · 16:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
W W W L W Away · last 5
Home Win · PSV
61%
Best 1.47
Draw
20%
Best 5.23
Away Win · SHA
20%
Best 6.86

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 66% probability.

Also rated highly: PSV Eindhoven to win 60%, both teams to score 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven enters this Champions League clash with a clear home advantage, reflected in the market favoring their win. While detailed form and strength data are unavailable, the odds suggest PSV's attacking edge and home momentum could be decisive. The market leans toward a moderately open game with a good chance of goals, supported by the over 2.5 goals odds and BTTS possibility.

  • Home side likely to press with intensity
  • Potential for goal-scoring opportunities on both ends
  • Moderate tempo expected, balancing attack and defense

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 60% PSV Eindhoven win
Over/Under 2.5 66% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 80% 1X
  • 1X2 PSV Eindhoven win 60%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance 1X 80%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
PSV Eindhoven
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 18 / 6
Avg goals / match 4.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.99 / 0.68
Shakhtar Donetsk
W/D/L 4-0-1
Goals (for / against) 10 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 3-0-0

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
3.60
Goals Scored
2
1.20
Goals Conceded
0.80
2.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
9
Shots on Target
0
7.80
Corners
0
62
Possession (%)
0
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🎯 Scenario insights

PSV Eindhoven wins when scoring first
Shakhtar Donetsk wins when scoring first
PSV Eindhoven BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Shakhtar Donetsk BTTS rate · last 10
50%
PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Shakhtar Donetsk Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
PSV Eindhoven comeback rate · last 10
0%
Shakhtar Donetsk comeback rate · last 10
50%

🔥 Goal timing

PSV Eindhoven · last 5 at home

0–15 15%
16–30 0%
31–45 23%
46–60 23%
61–75 15%
76–90 23%

Shakhtar Donetsk · last 8 away

0–15 13%
16–30 27%
31–45 13%
46–60 7%
61–75 13%
76–90 27%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.