Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.76 — +1.6% better than the market.

With limited recent form data, this UEFA Champions League clash between Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa presents an open contest. The odds suggest a moderately balanced game with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo. Home advantage might offer Brugge a subtle edge, especially if they capitalize on set-pieces and pressing early on.

Home side’s familiarity with the pitch could foster confidence.
Both teams likely to seek attacking opportunities, raising goal potential.
Midfield battles may dictate control and tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.76 ✗ Lost

AI 37% Implied 36% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CLU 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1

CLU · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AST

7 Tresoldi

Statistics

CLU 2 – 3 AST

64%

Possession (%)

36%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Aston Villa won 3–2 away at Club Brugge KV. At half-time it was 1–3.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 14, 9 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.57 units (Brier 0.196).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.76	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	61%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.78	—	55%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.16	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.58	—	37%	Cashed	+1.58	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.80	—	34%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.02	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.89	—	37%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.56	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	79%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.64	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.57u	−15% ROI

Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled