P
Prognosist
P
Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Club Brugge KV — Aston Villa

Predictions by Market: Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Home · last 5 L W
Kick-off
Tue 08 Sep · 16:45
2:3
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
W W Away · last 5
Referee S. Scharer

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CLU
37%
Best 2.55
Draw
26%
Best 3.68
Away Win · AST
37%
Best 2.77
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.76
Fair odds
2.72
book 2.76 · +1.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Low
p 37% · EV +1.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (37%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 25.8%
Odds 3.64
Show model details
Implied probability 27.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.7%
Odds 14.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 36.8%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 37.4%
Odds 1.89
Show model details
Implied probability 52.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
CLU – AST @ 2.76
+1.6%
Edge
Forecast →