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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Lyon — Fenerbahçe

Lyon vs Fenerbahçe 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 L W D L
Kick-off
Wed 26 Aug · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Mariani
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.94 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 50% · book 1.97 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.68 — +7.0% better than the market.

Lyon hosts Fenerbahçe in a UEFA Champions League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who have shown stronger momentum with multiple wins. Lyon's mixed results at home suggest a compact defensive approach, while Fenerbahçe's attacking edge could test their resilience. The balanced odds and near-even goal expectations hint at a tactical battle with moderate pace and goal potential.

  • Fenerbahçe's recent winning streak offers confidence on the road
  • Lyon likely to rely on home solidity and set-piece threats
  • Match tempo expected to be balanced, favoring strategic play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.68 ✓ Cashed
AI 29% Implied 27% +2.68u
+268%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LYO 1 – 2 FEN
59%
Possession (%)
41%
17
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
7
7
Shots off Target
6
12
Shots Inside Box
12
5
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
17
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 2–1 away at Lyon. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 89% of their passes. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.63 units (Brier 0.230).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.80 — 55% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.94 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.97 — 50% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Home Win 2.11 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.73 — 54% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.65 — 29% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Away Win 3.68 — 29% Cashed +2.68 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.32 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.08 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.54 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.57 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.26 — 72% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.24 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.28 — 71% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −0.63u −4% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – FEN @ 3.68
+7.0%
Edge
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