🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 54% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Lyon hosts Fenerbahçe in a UEFA Champions League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who have shown stronger momentum with multiple wins. Lyon's mixed results at home suggest a compact defensive approach, while Fenerbahçe's attacking edge could test their resilience. The balanced odds and near-even goal expectations hint at a tactical battle with moderate pace and goal potential.
- Fenerbahçe's recent winning streak offers confidence on the road
- Lyon likely to rely on home solidity and set-piece threats
- Match tempo expected to be balanced, favoring strategic play
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 45% | Lyon win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 50% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 54% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 71% | 1X |
- 1X2 Lyon win 45%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50%
- BTTS Yes 54%
- Double Chance 1X 71%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lyon
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
6 / 9
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
1.79 / 1.33
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 4
Avg goals / match
2.0
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
3.27 / 1.18
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lyon wins when scoring first
100%
①
Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Lyon BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
50%
↑
Lyon Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Lyon comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lyon · last 10 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
6%
31–45
41%
46–60
24%
61–75
24%
76–90
6%
Fenerbahçe · last 6 away
0–15
20%
16–30
20%
31–45
39%
46–60
0%
61–75
0%
76–90
20%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
