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Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Lyon — Fenerbahçe

Predictions by Market: Lyon vs Fenerbahçe

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Lyon
Lyon
Home · last 5 L W D L
Kick-off
Wed 26 Aug · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W W D W D Away · last 5
Referee M. Mariani

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LYO
45%
Best 1.96
Draw
26%
Best 3.80
Away Win · FEN
29%
Best 3.94
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.68
Fair odds
3.44
book 3.68 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.68
Show model details
Implied probability 27.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.57
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.4%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.6%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29.4%
Odds 3.08
Show model details
Implied probability 32.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 72%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28%
Odds 3.24
Show model details
Implied probability 30.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 70.6%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.7%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LYO – FEN @ 3.68
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →