🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 57% probability.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Fenerbahçe shows strong home momentum with recent wins, while Lyon has a mixed away form. The home side's pressing and attacking rhythm could challenge Lyon's defense, but Lyon's resilience and counter-attacking threat remain notable. Expect a balanced game with chances for both sides given the moderate pace suggested by goal markets.
- Fenerbahçe's home confidence and attacking edge
- Lyon's ability to absorb pressure and counter
- Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 44% | Fenerbahçe win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 54% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 57% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 70% | 1X |
- 1X2 Fenerbahçe win 44%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54%
- BTTS Yes 57%
- Double Chance 1X 70%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fenerbahçe
W/D/L
3-1-1
Goals (for / against)
6 / 3
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
3.27 / 1.18
Lyon
W/D/L
2-0-3
Goals (for / against)
9 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
2.10 / 1.14
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Fenerbahçe wins when scoring first
—
①
Lyon wins when scoring first
75%
⚽
Fenerbahçe BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Lyon BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Fenerbahçe Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↑
Lyon Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Fenerbahçe comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Lyon comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Fenerbahçe · last 6 at home
0–15
8%
16–30
0%
31–45
23%
46–60
15%
61–75
23%
76–90
31%
Lyon · last 10 away
0–15
20%
16–30
20%
31–45
20%
46–60
13%
61–75
7%
76–90
20%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
