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Home World UEFA Champions League Fenerbahçe — Lyon

Predictions Fenerbahçe vs Lyon August 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 W D W W
Kick-off
Tue 18 Aug · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Lyon
Lyon
L W Away · last 5
Referee S. Jablonski
Home Win · FEN
44%
Best 2.08
Draw
26%
Best 3.74
Away Win · LYO
30%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.50 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +5.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 13.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FEN – LYO @ 3.50
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →