P
Prognosist
P
Home › World › UEFA Champions League › Fenerbahçe — Lyon

Predictions by Market: Fenerbahçe vs Lyon

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Home · last 5 W W D W D
Kick-off
Tue 18 Aug · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Lyon
Lyon
L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEN
44%
Best 2.05
Draw
26%
Best 3.66
Away Win · LYO
30%
Best 3.76
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.50
Fair odds
3.33
book 3.50 · +5.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 30% · EV +5.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (44%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.1%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33.7%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.2%
Odds 13.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.9%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.1%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.9%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FEN – LYO @ 3.50
+5.3%
Edge
Forecast →