Match Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz August 5, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.83 — +13.9% better than the market.

Fenerbahçe hosts Sturm Graz in a Champions League clash where home momentum and tactical discipline could be decisive. Both sides show solid recent form, but Fenerbahçe’s home edge and compact defensive setup may limit chances. The market suggests a cautious pace with a leaning towards under 2.5 goals, hinting at a tight contest.

Home advantage favors Fenerbahçe’s structured play.
Sturm Graz’s winning streak signals confidence but may face pressing challenges.
Low-scoring game likely given defensive solidity and moderate tempo.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.83 ✓ Cashed

AI 62% Implied 55% +0.83u

+83%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-3-3 · STU 4-4-2

FEN · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · STU

9 Aktürkoğlu

📊 Statistics

FEN 2 – 0 STU

72%

Possession (%)

28%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe beat Sturm Graz 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 72% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 5, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.69 units (Brier 0.100).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.83	—	62%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.20	—	54%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.70	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.00	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.30	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Away Win	8.40	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.40	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.41	—	61%	Cashed	+0.41	Cashed
AH Away 0	6.25	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.08	—	82%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	61%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	68%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.69u	−33% ROI