Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.05 — +12.0% better than the market.

Bundesliga Clash: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz enters with a clear quality edge and stronger defensive numbers, suggesting they can control the tempo against Austria Vienna's less potent attack. Home momentum is mixed, but Austria's solid defensive shape could limit chances, pointing to a tactical, low-scoring affair. Recent form is balanced, yet Graz's pressing and counter opportunities may tilt the balance in their favor.

Sturm Graz's defensive solidity challenges Austria's attack
Balanced recent form with slight away momentum
Likely a compact, cautious game with few goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.05 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 49% +1.05u

+105%

ROI on stake

Lineups

AUT 3-4-2-1 · STU 4-2-3-1

AUT · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · STU

19 Eggestein

Statistics

AUT 0 – 2 STU

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.90

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.56

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz won 2–0 away at Austria Vienna. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.56 to 1.90. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.78 units (Brier 0.144).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.28	—	52%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.15	—	54%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Away Win	2.05	—	55%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.80	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.67	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	75%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	—	79%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Draw	3.62	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.40	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.78u	−16% ROI

Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

Bundesliga Clash: Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled