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Home › Turkey › Süper Lig › Rizespor — Fenerbahçe

Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe 0:3: Match Review & Stats

Turkey   /   Süper Lig Value pick inside
Rizespor
Rizespor
Home · last 5 W L W D L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:00
0:3
Full-time
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
W L D W W Away · last 5
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu · Rize Referee Ozan Ergun, Türkiye
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 62% · book 1.75 ✓
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.69 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.62 ✗
Total goals
3
0 · 3
xG (open play)
1.52 – 0.96
Δ +0.56
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.75 — +8.3% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 57% +0.75u
+75%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RIZ 0 – 3 FEN
50%
Possession (%)
50%
1.52
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.96
19
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
9
Shots off Target
3
11
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
3
4
Fouls
6
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Fenerbahçe won 3–0 away at Rizespor. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.52 to 0.96. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 13, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.96 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.73 units (Brier 0.152).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.75 — 62% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.69 — 62% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 — 42% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.27 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.15 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.22 — 84% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 60% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 4.12 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.58 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.73u −25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
RIZ – FEN @ 1.75
+8.3%
Edge
Forecast →