Match France vs England July 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.85 — +0.9% better than the market.

France and England meet in a high-stakes World Cup clash with both sides showing strong form. England's perfect recent run and defensive solidity, keeping clean sheets in all qualifiers, contrasts with France's slightly more open style, conceding occasionally but boasting a potent attack. The match hints at a tactical battle between England's compact block and France's dynamic offense.

England's defensive resilience offers a pressing edge.
France's home momentum fuels attacking creativity.
Both teams favor a moderately open, goal-friendly pace.

Expect a competitive encounter where tactical discipline meets attacking flair, likely producing goals but also tight moments in midfield.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.85 ✓ Cashed

AI 26% Implied 26% +2.85u

+285%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FRA 4-2-3-1 · ENG 4-1-2-3

FRA · 4-2-3-1 4-1-2-3 · ENG

10 Mbappé ⚽

Subs used · FRA

46'

Dembele ↑ ·

Cherki ↓

46'

Barcola ↑ ·

Doue ↓

46'

Digne ↑ ·

Hernandez ↓

46'

Upamecano ↑ ·

Konate ↓

90+1'

Kounde ↑ ·

Gusto ↓

Subs used · ENG

46'

Watkins ↑ ·

Rashford ↓

79'

Anderson ↑ ·

Toney ↓

79'

Bellingham ↑ ·

Eze ↓

83'

James ↑ ·

Quansah ↓

90+3'

Chalobah ↑ ·

Guehi ↓

📊 Statistics

FRA 4 – 6 ENG

46%

Possession (%)

54%

2.87

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.58

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

91%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 4 – 6

⚽

D. Rice

0–1

18'

⚽

E. Konsa

Assist · D. Rice · 0–2

37'

⚽

B. Saka

Assist · M. Rashford · 0–3

45+1'

⚽

B. Saka

Assist · E. Eze · 0–4

Half-time · 0 – 4

O. Dembele ↓ · R. Cherki ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

B. Barcola ↓ · D. Doue ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

L. Digne ↓ · T. Hernandez ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

D. Upamecano ↓ · I. Konate ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

46'

⇄

O. Watkins ↓ · M. Rashford ↑

Substitution 1

K. Mbappe

Assist · M. Olise · 1–4

⚽

48'

B. Barcola

Assist · K. Mbappe · 2–4

⚽

54'

K. Mbappe

Assist · M. Olise · 3–4

⚽

66'

79'

⇄

E. Anderson ↓ · I. Toney ↑

Substitution 2

79'

⇄

J. Bellingham ↓ · E. Eze ↑

Substitution 3

83'

⇄

R. James ↓ · J. Quansah ↑

Substitution 4

87'

⚽

B. Saka (P)

Penalty · 3–5

J. Kounde ↓ · M. Gusto ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+1'

90+3'

⇄

T. Chalobah ↓ · M. Guehi ↑

Substitution 5

O. Dembele

Assist · D. Upamecano · 4–5

⚽

90+6'

90+8'

⚽

J. Bellingham

4–6

Full-time · 4 – 6

Match recap

England won 6–4 away at France. At half-time it was 0–4.

In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 6 from 2.58 expected goals.

On the scoresheet: D. Rice (3'), E. Konsa (18'), B. Saka (37'), B. Saka (45+1'), K. Mbappe (48'), B. Barcola (54'), K. Mbappe (66'), B. Saka (87'), O. Dembele (90+6'), J. Bellingham (90+8').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.35 units (Brier 0.227).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.08	2.10	48%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.87	1.91	51%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Home Win	1.91	1.85	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.73	2.72	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.75	1.75	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.75	2.75	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	1.40	69%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.44	1.44	67%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.25	1.25	74%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.90	3.06	26%	Cashed	+1.90	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.42	1.39	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.85	3.85	26%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.11	1.11	86%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Draw	3.85	4.05	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.00	5.56	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−0.35u	−2% ROI