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Home World World Cup France — England

Predictions France vs England July 18, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
France
France
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Jul · 21:00
4:6
Full-time
England
England
W W W L W Away · last 5
Referee Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela
Home Win · FRA
49%
Best 1.89
Draw
24%
Best 4.18
Away Win · ENG
26%
Best 4.04
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.85
Fair odds
3.82
book 3.85 · +0.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 26% · EV +0.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (49%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 26.2%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.7%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 33.2%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 26.2%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 50.6%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
FRA – ENG @ 3.85
+0.9%
Edge
Forecast →