P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — Utrecht

Excelsior vs Utrecht 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 10:15
1:2
Full-time
Utrecht
Utrecht
D L D W L Away · last 5
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Rotterdam Referee S. van der Eijk
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.71 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 38% · book 2.62 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 39% · book 2.55 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.71 — +1.7% better than the market.

Excelsior hosts Utrecht in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, but home momentum is notable. Excelsior’s solid home performances contrast with Utrecht’s struggles on the road, suggesting a tightly contested match. The pace hints at a moderately open game, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating chances for both sides.

  • Excelsior’s home resilience versus Utrecht’s away inconsistency
  • Recent form edges slightly to Utrecht but with limited confidence
  • Potential for goals given attacking tendencies and open tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.71 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 58% +0.71u
+71%
ROI on stake

Statistics

EXC 1 – 2 UTR
56%
Possession (%)
44%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Utrecht won 2–1 away at Excelsior. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.23 units (Brier 0.182).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.71 — 59% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.55 — 39% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Home Win 2.64 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.18 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 64% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.53 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 61% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 62% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.68 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.23u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
EXC – UTR @ 1.71
+1.7%
Edge
Forecast →