Model verdict
Model leans toward Utrecht to win — 68% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 55%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 68% | Utrecht win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 55% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 50% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 88% | 1X |
- 1X2 Utrecht win 68%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55%
- BTTS Yes 50%
- Double Chance 1X 88%
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Utrecht
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
9 / 18
Avg goals / match
5.4
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
5/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.11 / 2.39
Willem II
W/D/L
0-2-3
Goals (for / against)
4 / 12
Avg goals / match
3.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.70 / 1.35
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Utrecht wins when scoring first
—
①
Willem II wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Utrecht BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
Willem II BTTS rate · last 8
63%
↑
Utrecht Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
Willem II Over 2.5 · last 8
63%
↩
Utrecht comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Willem II comeback rate · last 8
0%
Goal timing
Utrecht · last 8 at home
0–15
0%
16–30
19%
31–45
12%
46–60
25%
61–75
25%
76–90
19%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
