🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 61% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Heerenveen arrives with better recent form and a clear points advantage, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Willem II’s struggles at home and lack of recent wins hint at a tough night ahead. Expect a cautious tempo with both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity, given the moderate goal expectations and odds favoring under 3.5 goals.
- Heerenveen’s momentum and away resilience
- Willem II’s home difficulties and low scoring trend
- Likely compact defensive setups limiting chances
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 50% | Heerenveen win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 59% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 61% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 73% | X2 |
- 1X2 Heerenveen win 50%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
- BTTS Yes 61%
- Double Chance X2 73%
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Willem II
W/D/L
1-0-2
Goals (for / against)
3 / 8
Avg goals / match
3.7
Scored in
3/3
Clean sheets
1/3
Both teams scored
2/3
Over 2.5
2/3
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
xG (for / against)
1.44 / 2.67
Heerenveen
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
5 / 7
Avg goals / match
2.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.08 / 1.70
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Willem II wins when scoring first
—
①
Heerenveen wins when scoring first
—
⚽
Willem II BTTS rate · last 3
67%
⚽
Heerenveen BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Willem II Over 2.5 · last 3
67%
↑
Heerenveen Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Willem II comeback rate · last 3
0%
↩
Heerenveen comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Heerenveen · last 3 away
0–15
33%
16–30
0%
31–45
33%
46–60
0%
61–75
33%
76–90
0%
First-half-heavy — over half the goals before the break.
