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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Willem II — Heerenveen

Predictions by Market: Willem II vs Heerenveen

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Willem II
Willem II
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 12:30
2:2
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
D L D W L Away · last 5
Koning Willem II Stadion · Tilburg Referee Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WIL
27%
Best 3.96
Draw
23%
Best 4.33
Away Win · HEE
50%
Best 1.80
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.70
Fair odds
2.42
book 2.70 · +11.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +11.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (59%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 50%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.3%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.7%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 62.2%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 37.9%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 39.3%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60.7%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 50%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
WIL – HEE @ 2.70
+11.8%
Edge
Forecast →