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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Auxerre — Nice

Auxerre vs Nice 1:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Auxerre
Auxerre
Home · last 5 L L L W W
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D L W Away · last 5
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps · Auxerre Referee Francois Letexier
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 2.00 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 36% · book 2.70 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
32% – 68%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.84 — +13.3% better than the market.

Auxerre face a tough challenge hosting Nice, who show better recent form and a higher points per game. Auxerre's struggles continue, while Nice's compact defense and ability to grind out results suggest a cautious encounter. The odds favor a low-scoring game, supported by historical draws and tight scorelines.

  • Nice's defensive resilience may stifle Auxerre's attack.
  • Auxerre's home momentum is lacking, limiting offensive threat.
  • Expect a measured pace with few clear-cut chances.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 55% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

Lineups

AUX 4-2-3-1 · NIC 3-4-2-1
Subs used · AUX
71' Faivre ↑ · Lascary ↓
81' Ahamada ↑ · Namaso ↓
82' Ekwah ↑ · Piedfort ↓
87' Mandengue ↑ · Archer ↓
Subs used · NIC
72' Abdi ↑ · Nkounkou ↓
86' Diop ↑ · Wahi ↓
86' Ngoumou ↑ · Amoura ↓
86' Boudaoui ↑ · Witsel ↓
86' Jansson ↑ · Abdelmoneim ↓

Statistics

AUX 1 – 0 NIC
32%
Possession (%)
68%
11
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
8
0
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Kevin Danois
Yellow Card
▮
44'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Romain Faivre ↓ · Remy Labeau Lascary ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
72'
⇄
Ali Abdi ↓ · Niels Nkounkou ↑
Substitution 1
74'
▮
Djibril Coulibaly
Yellow Card
Cameron Archer
Assist · Christ Makosso · 1–0
⚽
74'
Naouirou Ahamada ↓ · Danny Namaso ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
81'
Pierre Ekwah ↓ · Arthur Piedfort ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
82'
86'
⇄
Sofiane Diop ↓ · Sepe Elye Wahi ↑
Substitution 2
86'
⇄
Nathan Ngoumou ↓ · Mohamed Amoura ↑
Substitution 3
86'
⇄
Hicham Boudaoui ↓ · Axel Witsel ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
Isak Jansson ↓ · Mohamed Abdelmoneim ↑
Substitution 5
Rayan Mandengue ↓ · Cameron Archer ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
87'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Auxerre beat Nice 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 68% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 3.

On the scoresheet: Cameron Archer (74').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.60 units (Brier 0.193).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.84 1.91 62% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
BTTS No 2.00 2.09 57% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Away Win 2.70 2.48 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.55 2.88 36% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.04 1.91 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.69 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.99 1.82 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.91 2.09 36% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.52 1.42 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 1.50 64% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.32 3.50 36% Cashed +2.32 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.95 10.00 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.20 3.30 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 1.33 80% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.04 87% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 1.28 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.37 3.25 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.60u −9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
AUX – NIC @ 1.84
+13.3%
Edge
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