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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris FC — Nice

Paris FC vs Nice 3:0: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris FC
Paris FC
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 13:00
3:0
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D L W Away · last 5
Stade Jean Bouin · Isilemulino Referee Jeremy Stinat, France
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.73 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.91 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.72 ✗
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.74 – 0.57
Δ +2.17
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 9.00 — +13.5% better than the market.

This Ligue 1 clash between Paris FC and Nice looks set for a cautious battle. Both sides share similar recent form, suggesting a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities. The odds favor a low-scoring game, hinting at disciplined defensive setups and a measured pace. Paris FC's home ground might offer a slight pressing edge, but Nice’s steady away form could keep them competitive.

  • Balanced recent form with draws on both sides
  • Defensive solidity likely to limit chances
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring a compact game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5
Under 0.5 @ 9.00 ✗ Lost
AI 13% Implied 11% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PAR 4-2-3-1 · NIC 3-4-2-1
PAR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NIC 1 Trapp 17 Camara 42 Coppola 6 Otávio 31 Chergui ⚽ 20 López 33 Melou 10 Kebbal 7 Pagis 27 Simon 9 Sinayoko ⚽ 23 Diouf 35 Mandza 55 Ndayishimiye 5 Abdelmonem 92 Clauss 39 Coulibaly 28 Witsel 26 Bard 7 Hein 10 Diop 29 N'Goumou
Subs used · PAR
63' Matondo ↑ · Simon ↓
72' Zabi ↑ · Pagis ↓
83' Traore ↑ · Kebbal ↓
83' Marchetti ↑ · Otavio ↓
Subs used · NIC
63' Wahi ↑ · Ngoumou ↓
73' Jansson ↑ · Witsel ↓
73' Mendy ↑ · Abdelmonem ↓
82' Koutoune ↑ · Clauss ↓
82' Morana ↑ · Bard ↓

Statistics

PAR 3 – 0 NIC
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.57
15
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
7
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

13 · 3 – 0
18'
▮
Y. Ndayishimiye
Yellow Card
L. Sinayoko (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
21'
Half-time · 1 – 0
S. Chergui
Assist · I. Kebbal · 2–0
⚽
51'
63'
⇄
E. Wahi ↓ · N. Ngoumou ↑
Substitution 1
R. Matondo ↓ · M. Simon ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
63'
P. Zabi ↓ · P. Pagis ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
73'
⇄
I. Jansson ↓ · A. Witsel ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
A. Mendy ↓ · M. Abdelmonem ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
H. Koutoune ↓ · J. Clauss ↑
Substitution 4
82'
⇄
D. Morana ↓ · M. Bard ↑
Substitution 5
H. Traore ↓ · I. Kebbal ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
V. Marchetti ↓ · Otavio ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
V. Marchetti
Assist · P. Zabi · 3–0
⚽
89'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Paris FC beat Nice 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.74 to 0.57. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: L. Sinayoko (21'), S. Chergui (51'), V. Marchetti (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.44 units (Brier 0.171).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.73 1.80 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.91 1.95 56% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.72 1.74 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.10 2.05 42% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.66 2.72 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.10 2.00 37% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.14 3.40 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 9.01 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.65 3.83 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 1.27 70% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.27 1.29 81% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.51 1.49 42% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.05 87% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.28 3.34 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 1.30 63% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.62 3.50 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.44u −26% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PAR – NIC @ 9.00
+13.5%
Edge
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