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Home France Ligue 1 Paris FC — Nice

Preview Paris FC vs Nice August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris FC
Paris FC
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 13:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Nice
Nice
D Away · last 5
Stade Jean Bouin · Paris Referee J. Stinat
Home Win · PAR
42%
Best 2.13
Draw
27%
Best 3.52
Away Win · NIC
30%
Best 3.81

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 63% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams not to score 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

This Ligue 1 clash between Paris FC and Nice looks set for a cautious battle. Both sides share similar recent form, suggesting a tight contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities. The odds favor a low-scoring game, hinting at disciplined defensive setups and a measured pace. Paris FC's home ground might offer a slight pressing edge, but Nice’s steady away form could keep them competitive.

  • Balanced recent form with draws on both sides
  • Defensive solidity likely to limit chances
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring a compact game

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 42% Paris FC win
Over/Under 2.5 63% Under 2.5
BTTS 56% No
Double Chance 70% 1X
  • 1X2 Paris FC win 42%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63%
  • BTTS No 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 70%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 3.31 ↑ 3.67 (+11%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Paris FC
W/D/L 2-1-2
Goals (for / against) 7 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 3/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.39 / 1.08
Nice
W/D/L 1-3-1
Goals (for / against) 5 / 3
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.22 / 0.77

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0.80
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
0
Shots on Target
1
0
Corners
7
57
Possession (%)
64
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
OFF · home
33
DEF · home
67
22
OFF · away
100
DEF · away
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Paris FC wins when scoring first
80%
Nice wins when scoring first
50%
Paris FC BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Nice BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Paris FC Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Nice Over 2.5 · last 10
30%
Paris FC comeback rate · last 10
Nice comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Paris FC · last 10 at home

0–15 20%
16–30 27%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 13%
76–90 40%

Nice · last 10 away

0–15 10%
16–30 20%
31–45 10%
46–60 10%
61–75 10%
76–90 40%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.