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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Paris FC — Nice

Predictions by Market: Paris FC vs Nice

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris FC
Paris FC
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 13:00
3:0
Full-time
Nice
Nice
D L D L W Away · last 5
Stade Jean Bouin · Isilemulino Referee Jeremy Stinat, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PAR
42%
Best 2.12
Draw
27%
Best 3.50
Away Win · NIC
30%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.00
Fair odds
7.93
book 9.00 · +13.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 13% · EV +13.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (87%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 30.2%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 37%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 12.6%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 81%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 63%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19%
Odds 3.62
Show model details
Implied probability 27.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.1%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.2%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 42.4%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 69.8%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
PAR – NIC @ 9.00
+13.5%
Edge
Forecast →