Lorient vs Estac Troyes 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.10 — +14.9% better than the market.

This Ligue 1 clash features two sides with similar recent form, both drawing their last five matches, suggesting a cautious approach. Lorient's home momentum is tempered by Troyes' resilience on the road, pointing to a tight contest. The odds hint at a low-scoring game, likely with compact defenses limiting clear chances.

Even form trend suggests a balanced midfield battle.
Home advantage slightly offset by Troyes' defensive discipline.
Market signals favor under 2.5 goals, indicating a measured pace.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.10 ✓ Cashed

AI 28% Implied 24% +3.10u

+310%

ROI on stake

Lineups

LOR 3-4-2-1 · TRO 4-3-3

LOR · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · TRO

17 Makengo ⚽

Subs used · LOR

66'

Jensen ↑ ·

Bernardeau ↓

66'

Tosin ↑ ·

Kone ↓

73'

Katseris ↑ ·

Makengo ↓

73'

Faye ↑ ·

Le Bris ↓

84'

Mbamba ↑ ·

Cadiou ↓

Subs used · TRO

67'

Diawara ↑ ·

Picard ↓

78'

Karim ↑ ·

Mille ↓

85'

Phliponeau ↑ ·

Gomis ↓

85'

Kone ↑ ·

Ripart ↓

86'

Donkor ↑ ·

Maronnier ↓

Statistics

LOR 1 – 2 TRO

67%

Possession (%)

33%

1.09

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.57

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

13 · 1 – 2

29'

⚽

R. Ripart (P)

Penalty · 0–1

38'

⚽

L. Maronnier

Assist · A. Mille · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

J. Makengo

1–2

⚽

51'

I. Jensen ↓ · G. Bernardeau ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

66'

A. Tosin ↓ · M. Kone ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

66'

67'

⇄

K. Diawara ↓ · H. Picard ↑

Substitution 1

P. Katseris ↓ · J. Makengo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

S. Faye ↓ · T. Le Bris ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

73'

78'

⇄

D. Karim ↓ · A. Mille ↑

Substitution 2

N. Mbamba ↓ · N. Cadiou ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

85'

⇄

A. Phliponeau ↓ · I. Gomis ↑

Substitution 3

85'

⇄

Y. Kone ↓ · R. Ripart ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

N. Donkor ↓ · L. Maronnier ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Estac Troyes won 2–1 away at Lorient. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 11, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: R. Ripart (29'), L. Maronnier (38'), J. Makengo (51').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.26 units (Brier 0.245).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.80	1.73	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	1.85	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.90	1.91	54%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Home Win	1.86	1.85	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	2.10	37%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	1.87	40%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	8.47	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.30	3.19	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.10	4.33	28%	Cashed	+3.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.27	1.24	84%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.22	1.21	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.28	3.32	28%	Cashed	+2.28	Cashed
Draw	3.55	3.40	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.03	82%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	1.31	62%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.37	1.36	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.58	3.80	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.26u	−2% ROI

Lorient vs Estac Troyes 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled