🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 63% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 60%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
This Ligue 1 clash features two sides with similar recent form, both drawing their last five matches, suggesting a cautious approach. Lorient's home momentum is tempered by Troyes' resilience on the road, pointing to a tight contest. The odds hint at a low-scoring game, likely with compact defenses limiting clear chances.
- Even form trend suggests a balanced midfield battle.
- Home advantage slightly offset by Troyes' defensive discipline.
- Market signals favor under 2.5 goals, indicating a measured pace.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | Lorient win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 63% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | No |
| Double Chance | 72% | 1X |
- 1X2 Lorient win 46%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63%
- BTTS No 60%
- Double Chance 1X 72%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lorient
W/D/L
1-2-2
Goals (for / against)
8 / 7
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
3/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
xG (for / against)
1.51 / 1.27
Estac Troyes
W/D/L
0-3-2
Goals (for / against)
3 / 8
Avg goals / match
2.2
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
0.44 / 1.84
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Lorient wins when scoring first
50%
①
Estac Troyes wins when scoring first
0%
⚽
Lorient BTTS rate · last 10
40%
⚽
Estac Troyes BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Lorient Over 2.5 · last 10
40%
↑
Estac Troyes Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Lorient comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Estac Troyes comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Lorient · last 10 at home
0–15
6%
16–30
31%
31–45
19%
46–60
25%
61–75
13%
76–90
6%
Estac Troyes · last 10 away
0–15
29%
16–30
14%
31–45
0%
46–60
0%
61–75
29%
76–90
29%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.