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Home France Ligue 1 Lorient — Estac Troyes

Predictions Lorient vs Estac Troyes August 29, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
D Away · last 5
Referee A. Souifi
Home Win · LOR
46%
Best 1.91
Draw
26%
Best 3.74
Away Win · TRO
28%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.10 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 38.4%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 16.2%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 40.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LOR – TRO @ 4.10
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →