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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Lorient — Estac Troyes

Predictions by Market: Lorient vs Estac Troyes

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lorient
Lorient
Home · last 5 L W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:45
1:2
Full-time
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
D W L L L Away · last 5
Referee A. Souifi

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LOR
46%
Best 1.93
Draw
26%
Best 3.68
Away Win · TRO
28%
Best 4.42
Value pick
Away Win
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.10 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (46%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 28%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.6%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 62.6%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 37.4%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 17.7%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 38.4%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5 Top pick
Probability 83.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.2%
Odds 3.58
Show model details
Implied probability 28%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 40.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 28%
Odds 3.28
Show model details
Implied probability 30.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.4%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 72%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LOR – TRO @ 4.10
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →