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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Strasbourg — Lens

Strasbourg vs Lens 2:1: Match Review & Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Home · last 5 L W W D L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 15:15
2:1
Full-time
Lens
Lens
L L D L W Away · last 5
Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg Referee B. Dechepy
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 50% · book 2.54 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.37 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.66 – 2.89
Δ −1.23
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.67 — +14.8% better than the market.

Strasbourg faces Lens at Stade de la Meinau with contrasting momentum; Lens arrives on the back of a win while Strasbourg is struggling. The home side’s recent form suggests defensive vulnerabilities, while Lens’s attacking edge could exploit this. Expect a lively pace given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, hinting at open play and goal-scoring chances.

  • Lens carries confidence from recent victories
  • Strasbourg’s defense may be tested early
  • Potential for a high-tempo, goal-rich encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

Lineups

STR 4-2-3-1 · LEN 3-4-2-1
STR · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · LEN 1 Jörgensen 16 Antwi 2 Omobamidele 4 Mitchell 24 Høgsberg 23 Sousa 21 Diop 80 Yassine ⚽ 10 Reyna 11 Nanasi 30 Ortega 40 Risser 31 Sagnan 25 Ganiou 3 Nawrocki 22 Skóraś 8 Titraoui 27 Cuisance 14 Udol 10 Thauvin ⚽ 29 Ivanović 19 Sima
Subs used · STR
76' Amo-Ameyaw ↑ · Reyna ↓
83' Coulibaly ↑ · Hogsberg ↓
83' Mara ↑ · Ortega ↓
90' Balde ↑ · Yassine ↓
90' Del Blanco ↑ · Nanasi ↓
Subs used · LEN
62' Aguilar ↑ · Nawrocki ↓
72' Bulatovic ↑ · Cuisance ↓
73' Hazard ↑ · Ivanovic ↓
89' Sotoca ↑ · Sima ↓
89' Soares ↑ · Skoras ↓

Statistics

STR 2 – 1 LEN
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.66
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.89
16
Total Shots
17
7
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
6
12
Shots Inside Box
12
3
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
11
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
2
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

17 · 2 – 1
J. Mitchell
Yellow Card
▮
36'
38'
⚽
F. Thauvin (P)
Penalty · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
G. Yassine
Assist · S. Nanasi · 1–1
⚽
48'
62'
⇄
R. Aguilar ↓ · M. Nawrocki ↑
Substitution 1
69'
▮
F. Ivanovic
Yellow Card
72'
⇄
A. Bulatovic ↓ · M. Cuisance ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
T. Hazard ↓ · F. Ivanovic ↑
Substitution 3
S. Amo-Ameyaw ↓ · G. Reyna ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
76'
80'
▮
R. Aguilar
Yellow Card
K. Coulibaly ↓ · L. Hogsberg ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
83'
S. Mara ↓ · J. Ortega ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
G. Yassine
Yellow Card
▮
84'
G. Yassine
Assist · S. Nanasi · 2–1
⚽
85'
89'
⇄
F. Sotoca ↓ · A. Sima ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
M. Soares ↓ · M. Skoras ↑
Substitution 5
F. Balde ↓ · G. Yassine ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
M. Del Blanco ↓ · S. Nanasi ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Strasbourg beat Lens 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.89 to 1.66. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: F. Thauvin (38'), G. Yassine (48'), G. Yassine (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.10 units (Brier 0.200).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.54 2.38 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.37 2.38 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.67 1.57 69% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.72 1.84 55% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Away Win 2.08 1.93 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.89 2.89 27% Cashed +1.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 2.38 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 1.17 88% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.32 1.25 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.56 1.55 50% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.49 1.53 50% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.55 1.44 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.35 3.91 30% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.01 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.63 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.35 5.00 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 14.93 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.10u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
STR – LEN @ 1.67
+14.8%
Edge
Forecast →