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Home France Ligue 1 Lens — Auxerre

Match Lens vs Auxerre August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:15
5:2
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee M. Vernice
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 46% · book 2.30
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.62
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 41% · book 2.30
Total goals
7
5 · 2
xG (open play)
4.45 – 1.79
Δ +2.66
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.30 — +6.1% better than the market.

Lens hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 clash with limited recent form data, making it an open contest. The home side may benefit from familiar surroundings and a slight edge in tempo suggested by the odds favoring over 2.5 goals. Expect a balanced tactical battle where Lens' home momentum could challenge Auxerre's defensive resilience.

  • Home advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Odds hint at a moderately open game with goal chances
  • Both teams likely cautious due to unknown form

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.30 ✗ Lost
AI 46% Implied 43% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEN 3-4-2-1 · AUX 4-3-3
Subs used · LEN
62' Skoras ↑ · Abdulhamid
62' Hazard ↑ · Ivanovic
71' Edouard ↑ · Sima
71' Haidara ↑ · Cuisance
79' Bulatovic ↑ · Ganiou
Subs used · AUX
67' Dioubate ↑ · Faivre
67' Mandengue ↑ · Zossou
77' Legros ↑ · Ahamada
77' Coulibaly ↑ · Namaso
87' Casimir ↑ · Piedfort

📊 Statistics

LEN 52 AUX
53%
Possession (%)
47%
4.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.79
12
Total Shots
10
9
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
3
10
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
21
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 5 – 2
F. Thauvin (P)
Penalty · 1–0
12'
35'
C. Makosso
Red Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
F. Ivanovic
Assist · A. Sima · 2–0
49'
S. Abdulhamid
Assist · F. Thauvin · 3–0
54'
61'
D. Namaso (P)
Penalty · 3–1
M. Skoras ↓ · S. Abdulhamid ↑
Substitution 1
62'
T. Hazard ↓ · F. Ivanovic ↑
Substitution 2
62'
I. Ganiou
Assist · M. Skoras · 4–1
66'
67'
L. Dioubate ↓ · R. Faivre ↑
Substitution 1
67'
R. Mandengue ↓ · A. Zossou ↑
Substitution 2
69'
L. Sy
Assist · R. Mandengue · 4–2
O. Edouard ↓ · A. Sima ↑
Substitution 3
71'
A. Haidara ↓ · M. Cuisance ↑
Substitution 4
71'
77'
E. Legros ↓ · N. Ahamada ↑
Substitution 3
77'
L. Coulibaly ↓ · D. Namaso ↑
Substitution 4
A. Bulatovic ↓ · I. Ganiou ↑
Substitution 5
79'
M. Nawrocki
Yellow Card
84'
86'
L. Dioubate
Yellow Card
87'
J. Casimir ↓ · A. Piedfort ↑
Substitution 5
F. Thauvin (P)
Penalty · 5–2
88'
Full-time · 5 – 2

Match recap

Lens beat Auxerre 5–2 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 4.45 to 1.79. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: F. Thauvin (12'), F. Ivanovic (49'), S. Abdulhamid (54'), D. Namaso (61'), I. Ganiou (66'), L. Sy (69'), F. Thauvin (88'). C. Makosso was sent off in the 35' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.94 units (Brier 0.146).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.30 2.56 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 1.62 59% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.30 2.38 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.56 2.50 37% Cashed +1.56 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 1.73 56% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 2.04 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.48 1.50 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.59 1.47 54% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Away Win 5.00 6.37 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.03 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 14.93 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 4.55 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 1.17 79% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.45 4.61 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 1.13 77% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.77 4.65 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.24 1.17 54% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.94u −29% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEN – AUX @ 2.30
+6.1%
Edge
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