P
Prognosist
P
Home France Ligue 1 Lens — Auxerre

Predictions Lens vs Auxerre August 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Lens
Lens
Home · last 5 W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:15
5:2
Full-time
Auxerre
Auxerre
L Away · last 5
Stade Bollaert-Delelis · Lens Referee M. Vernice
Home Win · LEN
54%
Best 1.54
Draw
23%
Best 4.78
Away Win · AUX
23%
Best 6.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.17
book 2.30 · +6.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 46% · EV +6.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (77%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 63.1%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 23.3%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 60.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 23.3%
Odds 3.77
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 76.7%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEN – AUX @ 2.30
+6.1%
Edge
Forecast →