Match Estac Troyes vs Paris FC August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.10 — +3.8% better than the market.

With limited recent form and strength data, this Ligue 1 opener between Estac Troyes and Paris FC hints at a balanced contest. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, indicating a potential for attacking intent from both sides. Home advantage might offer Troyes a subtle edge, but expect a tactical battle with neither side clearly dominant.

Both teams likely to test defenses early
Moderate pace expected given goal market odds
Home ground could provide Troyes with a pressing edge

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.10 ✗ Lost

AI 33% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TRO 4-2-3-1 · PAR 4-2-3-1

TRO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · PAR

20 Ripart

Subs used · TRO

55'

Donkor ↑ ·

Titi ↓

75'

Mille ↑ ·

Diawara ↓

76'

Phliponeau ↑ ·

Gomis ↓

86'

Kone ↑ ·

Ripart ↓

Subs used · PAR

46'

Simon ↑ ·

Koleosho ↓

63'

Lopez ↑ ·

Matondo ↓

79'

Sissoko ↑ ·

Sinayoko ↓

81'

Zabi ↑ ·

Pagis ↓

📊 Statistics

TRO 0 – 0 PAR

43%

Possession (%)

57%

0.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.80

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

90%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

11 · 0 – 0

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

M. Simon ↓ · L. Koleosho ↑

Substitution 1

N. Donkor ↓ · Y. Titi ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

55'

J. M. Diaz

Yellow Card

▮

56'

62'

▮

Otavio

Yellow Card

63'

⇄

M. Lopez ↓ · R. Matondo ↑

Substitution 2

M. Diop

Yellow Card

▮

69'

A. Mille ↓ · K. Diawara ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

75'

A. Phliponeau ↓ · I. Gomis ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

76'

79'

⇄

O. Sissoko ↓ · L. Sinayoko ↑

Substitution 3

81'

⇄

P. Zabi ↓ · P. Pagis ↑

Substitution 4

Y. Kone ↓ · R. Ripart ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Estac Troyes and Paris FC drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +1.56 units (Brier 0.277).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	3.10	3.28	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.73	1.73	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.10	2.10	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.68	2.76	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.31	2.25	40%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Away Win	2.16	2.15	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.32	2.43	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.69	1.59	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.69	1.69	58%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.43	1.38	65%	Cashed	+0.43	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.56	1.58	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.34	1.34	68%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	1.20	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.24	4.00	22%	Cashed	+3.24	Cashed
Draw	3.45	3.45	26%	Cashed	+2.45	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+1.56u	+10% ROI