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Home France Ligue 1 Estac Troyes — Paris FC

Predictions Estac Troyes vs Paris FC August 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes
Home · last 5 D
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 18:45
0:0
Full-time
Paris FC
Paris FC
D Away · last 5
Stade de l'Aube · Troyes Referee M. Bollengier
Home Win · TRO
34%
Best 3.37
Draw
26%
Best 3.80
Away Win · PAR
42%
Best 2.19
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.10
Fair odds
2.99
book 3.10 · +3.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 33% · EV +3.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (42%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 33.5%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 42%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.8%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.2%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 77.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.24
Show model details
Implied probability 23.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.3%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.7%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
TRO – PAR @ 3.10
+3.8%
Edge
Forecast →