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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 13:30
5:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L L W W Away · last 5
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.57 ✓
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 53% · book 1.87 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 45% · book 2.10 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.88 — +5.0% better than the market.

RB Leipzig show clear home momentum with recent wins and a strong points-per-game edge over Hamburger SV. Their attacking potential contrasts sharply with Hamburg’s struggles, suggesting Leipzig’s pressing and creativity could dominate. The pace hints at an open game, favoring Leipzig’s dynamic offense against a vulnerable defense.

  • Home side’s recent form and confidence
  • Attacking edge vs away defensive frailties
  • Likely high-tempo match with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.88 ✗ Lost
AI 36% Implied 35% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · HAM 3-4-2-1
LEI · 4-3-3 3-4-2-1 · HAM 26 Vandevoordt 39 Henrichs 4 Orbán ⚽ 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 21 El Aynaoui 6 Banzuzi 8 Ouédraogo 10 Gruda 27 Gomis ⚽ 7 Nusa ⚽ 1 Fernandes 24 Capaldo 23 Torunarigha 43 Nandja 7 El Ouahdi 6 Sambi Lokonga 21 Remberg 3 Møller Wolfe 27 Daka 11 Grønbæk 15 Poulsen
Subs used · LEI
35' Nkunku ↑ · Ouedraogo ↓
74' Baku ↑ · Henrichs ↓
74' Cruz ↑ · Gomis ↓
74' Esteve ↑ · Lukeba ↓
78' Finkgräfe ↑ · Nusa ↓
Subs used · HAM
45' Moffi ↑ · Poulsen ↓
73' Vieira ↑ · Daka ↓
73' Omari ↑ · Nandja ↓
78' Stange ↑ · Lokonga ↓
89' Jatta ↑ · Ouahdi ↓

Statistics

LEI 5 – 0 HAM
64%
Possession (%)
36%
19
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 5 – 0
6'
▮
Nicolás Capaldo
Yellow Card
Tidiam Gomis
Assist · Ezechiel Banzuzi · 1–0
⚽
17'
Antonio Nusa
2–0
⚽
28'
Christopher Nkunku ↓ · Assan Ouedraogo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
35'
45'
⇄
Terem Moffi ↓ · Yussuf Poulsen ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
Castello Junior Lukeba
Yellow Card
▮
48'
71'
▮
Shafiq Nandja
Yellow Card
Willi Orbán
Assist · Antonio Nusa · 3–0
⚽
72'
73'
⇄
Fábio Vieira ↓ · Patson Daka ↑
Substitution 2
73'
⇄
Warmed Omari ↓ · Shafiq Nandja ↑
Substitution 3
Ridle Baku ↓ · Benjamin Henrichs ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
74'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz ↓ · Tidiam Gomis ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
74'
Maxime Esteve ↓ · Castello Junior Lukeba ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
74'
Christopher Nkunku
Assist · Antonio Nusa · 4–0
⚽
74'
Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
5–0
⚽
77'
Max Finkgräfe ↓ · Antonio Nusa ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
78'
78'
⇄
Otto Emerson Stange ↓ · Albert Sambi Lokonga ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
Bakery Jatta ↓ · Zakaria El Ouahdi ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

RB Leipzig beat Hamburger SV 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Tidiam Gomis (17'), Antonio Nusa (28'), Willi Orbán (72'), Christopher Nkunku (74'), Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.52 units (Brier 0.100).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.57 — 46% Cashed +1.57 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.87 1.73 53% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.10 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.47 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.25 3.60 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.88 3.23 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.42 1.33 64% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.26 — 75% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 1.08 84% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.13 1.10 64% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Away Win 6.50 8.26 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.80 5.49 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 1.07 87% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 5.30 5.88 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.78 6.99 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 20.50 24.39 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.52u −32% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEI – HAM @ 2.88
+5.0%
Edge
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