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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Hamburger SV

Predictions by Market: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 13 Sep · 13:30
5:0
Full-time
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
L L L W W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEI
64%
Best 1.37
Draw
21%
Best 5.94
Away Win · HAM
16%
Best 8.40
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.88
Fair odds
2.74
book 2.88 · +5.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 36% · EV +5.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (84%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 16%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 20.5%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 44.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 27.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 5.78
Show model details
Implied probability 17.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 20.50
Show model details
Implied probability 4.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 39%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.13
Show model details
Implied probability 88.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 16%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 36.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEI – HAM @ 2.88
+5.0%
Edge
Forecast →