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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — Union Berlin

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin 4:0: Match Review & Stats

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
4:0
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
D L L L W Away · last 5
Referee R. Braun
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 56% · book 2.14 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 41% · book 2.75 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 44% · book 1.76 ✗
Total goals
4
4 · 0
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.75 — +13.0% better than the market.

Bayer Leverkusen hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga clash where home momentum is slightly dented after a recent loss, while Union shows signs of resilience with a draw. The home side's pressing edge and attacking intent could challenge Union's compact block, but the visitors' defensive discipline may keep the game tight. Expect a moderately open match with a good chance for goals given the market's lean towards over 2.5 goals.

  • Leverkusen’s home pressure vs Union’s organized defense
  • Recent form favors cautious play
  • Market suggests lively tempo and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.75 ✗ Lost
AI 41% Implied 36% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · UNI 4-1-2-1-2
BAY · 4-2-3-1 4-1-2-1-2 · UNI 1 Flekken 4 Quansah 2 Medina ⚽ 12 Tapsoba 3 Gutiérrez 6 Fernández ⚽ 24 García 30 Maza ⚽ 10 Tillman 9 Moreira 14 Schick ⚽ 1 Rønnow 18 Juranović 2 Uduokhai 4 Van Den Bosch 15 Rothe 6 Kemlein 20 Aebischer 9 Burcu 8 Khedira 27 Ljubičić 29 Latte Lath
Subs used · BAY
67' Kofane ↑ · Schick ↓
67' Diaby ↑ · Tillman ↓
71' Andrich ↑ · Carballo ↓
71' Bade ↑ · Medina ↓
83' Vázquez ↑ · Gutiérrez ↓
Subs used · UNI
63' Skarke ↑ · Lath ↓
63' Jeong ↑ · Aebischer ↓
63' Haberer ↑ · Kemlein ↓
74' Trimmel ↑ · Juranović ↓
79' Schäfer ↑ · Burcu ↓

Statistics

BAY 4 – 0 UNI
64%
Possession (%)
36%
20
Total Shots
5
10
Shots on Target
0
4
Shots off Target
3
15
Shots Inside Box
2
11
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 4 – 0
Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo
Assist · Miguel Gutiérrez · 1–0
⚽
1'
4'
▮
Felix Uduokhai
Yellow Card
Facundo Medina
Assist · Miguel Gutiérrez · 2–0
⚽
28'
Half-time · 2 – 0
47'
▮
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Yellow Card
Patrik Schick
Assist · Jarell Quansah · 3–0
⚽
48'
Miguel Gutiérrez
Yellow Card
▮
61'
63'
⇄
Tim Skarke ↓ · Emmanuel Latte Lath ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
Woo-Yeong Jeong ↓ · Michel Aebischer ↑
Substitution 2
63'
⇄
Janik Haberer ↓ · Aljoscha Kemlein ↑
Substitution 3
Ibrahim Maza
Assist · Patrik Schick · 4–0
⚽
66'
Christian Kofane ↓ · Patrik Schick ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
67'
Moussa Diaby ↓ · Malik Tillman ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
Robert Andrich ↓ · Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
71'
Loic Bade ↓ · Facundo Medina ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
71'
74'
⇄
Christopher Trimmel ↓ · Josip Juranović ↑
Substitution 4
79'
⇄
András Schäfer ↓ · Livan Burcu ↑
Substitution 5
Lucas Vázquez ↓ · Miguel Gutiérrez ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
Ibrahim Maza
Yellow Card
▮
88'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Match recap

Bayer Leverkusen beat Union Berlin 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 5, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo (1'), Facundo Medina (28'), Patrik Schick (48'), Ibrahim Maza (66').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.31 units (Brier 0.128).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.14 2.00 56% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.75 2.95 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.76 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.28 2.32 30% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.64 2.88 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.57 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 1.40 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 6.50 6.76 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.43 1.39 59% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.11 1.10 80% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 1.12 59% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.90 5.65 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.10 89% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.75 5.13 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.50 22.73 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 6.49 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.31u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – UNI @ 2.75
+13.0%
Edge
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