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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — Union Berlin

Predictions by Market: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
4:0
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
D L L L W Away · last 5
Referee R. Braun

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
59%
Best 1.44
Draw
21%
Best 5.58
Away Win · UNI
20%
Best 7.80
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.75
Fair odds
2.43
book 2.75 · +13.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +13.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.4%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.7%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 56.2%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 43.9%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.2%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 89.1%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 97.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 2.9%
Odds 21.50
Show model details
Implied probability 4.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.9%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 30.4%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – UNI @ 2.75
+13.0%
Edge
Forecast →