Match Liverpool vs Sunderland December 3, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.57 — +9.8% better than the market.

Liverpool hosts Sunderland at Anfield with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed form. Their attacking threat contrasts Sunderland's sturdy but less potent defense, suggesting Liverpool can control the game tempo. Sunderland’s resilience and recent points per game hint at a competitive match, but Liverpool’s home edge and sharper offense should create more chances.

Home side’s pressing and set-piece threat
Sunderland’s compact defensive block
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

Expect a match where Liverpool’s attacking superiority and home comfort meet Sunderland’s defensive discipline, likely yielding a controlled but open contest with Liverpool favored to edge ahead.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed

AI 70% Implied 64% +0.57u

+57%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · SUN 4-4-2

LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · SUN

9 Isak

Subs used · LIV

46'

Salah ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

65'

Jones ↑ ·

Gomez ↓

74'

Ekitike ↑ ·

Mac Allister ↓

86'

Kerkez ↑ ·

Robertson ↓

86'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Isak ↓

Subs used · SUN

62'

Isidor ↑ ·

Brobbey ↓

79'

Geertruida ↑ ·

Le Fee ↓

90+1'

O'Nien ↑ ·

Talbi ↓

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 1 SUN

67%

Possession (%)

33%

1.37

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 1 – 1

Half-time · 0 – 0

M. Salah ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

54'

▮

Enzo Le Fée

Yellow Card

Joe Gomez

Yellow Card

▮

55'

62'

⇄

W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑

Substitution 1

C. Jones ↓ · J. Gomez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

67'

⚽

C. Talbi

Assist · E. Le Fee · 0–1

H. Ekitike ↓ · A. Mac Allister ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

79'

⇄

L. Geertruida ↓ · E. Le Fee ↑

Substitution 2

N. Mukiele

Own goal · 1–1

⚽

81'

M. Kerkez ↓ · A. Robertson ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

F. Chiesa ↓ · A. Isak ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

90+1'

⇄

L. O'Nien ↓ · C. Talbi ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool and Sunderland drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.37 to 0.54. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 9, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 3.

On the scoresheet: C. Talbi (67'), N. Mukiele (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.10 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.49	—	49%	Cashed	+1.49	Cashed
BTTS No	1.96	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.92	—	46%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.63	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.52	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.57	—	70%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.30	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.39	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	92%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 0.5	18.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.12	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.44	—	18%	Cashed	+4.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	75%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.34	—	27%	Cashed	+2.34	Cashed
Away Win	8.90	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.10u	+6% ROI