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Home › Spain › La Liga › Deportivo La Coruna — Real Betis

Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna
Home · last 5 W W D L D
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
L W W W D Away · last 5
Estadio de Riazor · La Coruna Referee Cesar Soto Grado
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.18 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.06 ✗
Miss
AH Home 0
AH Home 0
AI 37% · book 2.45 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.58 — +9.1% better than the market.

Deportivo La Coruna holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo against Real Betis. Both sides show solid recent form, but Deportivo's slightly better defensive resilience and home momentum could limit Betis' attacking threat. Expect a tactical battle with a compact block from the hosts and measured pressing from the visitors.

  • Home edge in defense and overall strength
  • Balanced recent form with home momentum
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.58 ✗ Lost
AI 31% Implied 28% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COR 4-4-2 · BET 4-3-3
Subs used · COR
34' Villares ↑ · Casadó ↓
65' Cruz ↑ · Rodríguez ↓
65' Aubameyang ↑ · Jensen ↓
75' Hernández ↑ · Mella ↓
75' Traoré ↑ · Nsongo ↓
Subs used · BET
12' Gómez ↑ · Bartra ↓
61' Isco ↑ · Deossa ↓
62' Bernal ↑ · Santos ↓
79' Riquelme ↑ · Roca ↓
79' Ceballos ↑ · Fornals ↓

Statistics

COR 1 – 1 BET
43%
Possession (%)
57%
24
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
3
18
Shots Inside Box
7
11
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
0
6
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
Bright Ede
Yellow Card
▮
3'
12'
⇄
Diego Valentín Gómez ↓ · Marc Bartra ↑
Substitution 1
Diego Villares ↓ · Marc Casadó ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
34'
43'
⚽
Cucho Hernández
Assist · Nelson Deossa · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
61'
⇄
Isco ↓ · Nelson Deossa ↑
Substitution 2
62'
⇄
Facundo Bernal ↓ · Antony Matheus dos Santos ↑
Substitution 3
65'
▮
Diego Valentín Gómez
Yellow Card
Luismi Cruz ↓ · Riki Rodríguez ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ↓ · Jonathan Asp Jensen ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
Yeremay Hernández ↓ · David Mella ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
Adama Traoré ↓ · Bil Nsongo ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
75'
79'
⇄
Rodrigo Riquelme ↓ · Marc Roca ↑
Substitution 4
79'
⇄
Dani Ceballos ↓ · Pablo Fornals ↑
Substitution 5
Diego Villares
Assist · Mario Soriano · 1–1
⚽
87'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Deportivo La Coruna and Real Betis drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 11, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: Cucho Hernández (43'), Diego Villares (87').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.95 units (Brier 0.155).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.18 2.18 54% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
BTTS No 2.06 2.21 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.45 2.70 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 1.61 50% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.73 1.73 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.10 2.00 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.60 1.50 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.40 3.65 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.72 1.78 62% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.32 1.29 63% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.58 4.33 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 12.99 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 1.44 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 90% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 3.40 3.75 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 1.20 69% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.72 2.72 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.95u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
COR – BET @ 3.58
+9.1%
Edge
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