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Home › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Racing Santander

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander 5:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 L D D D W
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 16:30
5:0
Full-time
Racing Santander
Racing Santander
W L W L L Away · last 5
Municipal de Balaídos · Vigo Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.20 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.17 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.98 ✗
Total goals
5
5 · 0
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.17 — +14.5% better than the market.

Racing Santander enters this La Liga clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they could control the tempo against a struggling Celta Vigo. Despite Celta's home advantage, their defensive frailty and poor form hint at a tough outing. Expect a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances as both sides balance attack and defense.

  • Racing's offensive edge challenges Celta's shaky defense
  • Celta's home momentum is weak after several losses
  • Odds and form suggest a low to moderate scoring match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed
AI 53% Implied 46% +1.17u
+117%
ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · SAN 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CEL
45' Fernández ↑ · González ↓
45' Vilarino ↑ · García ↓
63' Iglesias ↑ · Jutglà ↓
64' Galán ↑ · Swedberg ↓
84' Burcio ↑ · Roman ↓
Subs used · SAN
63' Canales ↑ · Almeida ↓
63' Caricol ↑ · Mantilla ↓
63' Villalibre ↑ · García ↓
75' Guliashvili ↑ · Zabiri ↓
84' Sáinz-Maza ↑ · Martín ↓

Statistics

CEL 5 – 0 SAN
41%
Possession (%)
59%
13
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
4
8
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
5
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

22 · 5 – 0
Hugo González (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
32'
Ilaix Moriba
Assist · Miguel Roman · 2–0
⚽
43'
Pablo Durán Fernández ↓ · Hugo González ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Sergio Carreira Vilarino ↓ · Javier Rueda García ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
45'
Javier Rueda García
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
Half-time · 2 – 0
57'
▮
Yassir Zabiri
Yellow Card
63'
⇄
Sergio Canales ↓ · André Almeida ↑
Substitution 1
63'
⇄
Aarón Martin Caricol ↓ · Alvaro Mantilla ↑
Substitution 2
63'
⇄
Asier Villalibre ↓ · Pablo García ↑
Substitution 3
Borja Iglesias ↓ · Ferran Jutglà ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
Javi Galán ↓ · Williot Swedberg ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
64'
64'
▮
Jeanuël Belocian
Yellow Card
Miguel Roman
3–0
⚽
69'
Yoel Lago
Yellow Card
▮
73'
75'
▮
Pablo Ramon Parra
Yellow Card
75'
⇄
Giorgi Guliashvili ↓ · Yassir Zabiri ↑
Substitution 4
Pablo Durán Fernández
Assist · Hugo Alvarez Antunez · 4–0
⚽
78'
Hugo Burcio ↓ · Miguel Roman ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
84'
84'
⇄
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza ↓ · Iván Martín ↑
Substitution 5
90'
▮
Sergio Canales
Yellow Card
Pablo Durán Fernández
Assist · Hugo Alvarez Antunez · 5–0
⚽
90+2'
90+3'
▮
Iñigo Vicente
Yellow Card
Full-time · 5 – 0

Match recap

Celta Vigo beat Racing Santander 5–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Hugo González (32'), Ilaix Moriba (43'), Miguel Roman (69'), Pablo Durán Fernández (78'), Pablo Durán Fernández (90+2').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.89 units (Brier 0.212).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.20 2.22 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.17 2.15 53% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.98 1.95 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.80 1.78 45% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 1.67 47% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.66 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.67 2.64 25% Cashed +1.67 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.44 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.00 14.49 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.27 4.33 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.27 4.35 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.05 3.19 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 1.21 69% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Draw 3.83 3.88 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 87% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 1.20 68% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.35 1.32 45% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.89u −23% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
CEL – SAN @ 2.17
+14.5%
Edge
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