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Athletic Club vs Alaves 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:15
0:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
W L L D L Away · last 5
San Mamés Stadium · Bilbao Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 50% · book 2.20 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.80 ✓
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 1.92 ✗
Total goals
0
0 · 0
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.20 — +11.0% better than the market.

Athletic Club hosts Alaves in a La Liga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Alaves' defensive solidity and recent form upswing contrast with Athletic's shaky home momentum and defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's pressing edge might be blunted by Alaves' compact block and efficient counterattacks.

  • Alaves' defensive discipline challenges Athletic's moderate attack
  • Home side's recent inconsistency may limit goal-scoring chances
  • Match likely to feature cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals probable

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.20 ✓ Cashed
AI 50% Implied 45% +1.20u
+120%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · ALA 4-4-2
Subs used · BIL
45' Areso ↑ · Louis-Jean ↓
62' Berenguer ↑ · Jauregizar ↓
62' Sannadi ↑ · Williams ↓
75' Canales ↑ · Muñoz ↓
86' Serrano ↑ · Berchiche ↓
Subs used · ALA
65' Martínez ↑ · Díaz ↓
66' Enriquez ↑ · Rebbach ↓
75' Hidalgo ↑ · Boyé ↓
75' Blanco ↑ · Protesoni ↓
85' Aleñá ↑ · Lumbreras ↓

Statistics

BIL 0 – 0 ALA
69%
Possession (%)
31%
24
Total Shots
2
6
Shots on Target
0
10
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
0
5
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
4
14
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

13 · 0 – 0
Jesus Areso ↓ · Johaneko Louis-Jean ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
Half-time · 0 – 0
Alex Berenguer ↓ · Mikel Jauregizar ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
62'
Maroan Sannadi ↓ · Iñaki Williams ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
62'
65'
⇄
Toni Martínez ↓ · Mariano Díaz ↑
Substitution 1
66'
⇄
Youssef Enriquez ↓ · Abderrahmane Rebbach ↑
Substitution 2
Oihan Sancet (P)
Penalty · 1–0
⚽
70'
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
Yellow Card
▮
71'
Peio Canales ↓ · Robert Navarro Muñoz ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
75'
75'
⇄
Angel Pérez Hidalgo ↓ · Lucas Boyé ↑
Substitution 3
75'
⇄
Antonio Blanco ↓ · Carlos Protesoni ↑
Substitution 4
85'
⇄
Carles Aleñá ↓ · Pablo Ibanez Lumbreras ↑
Substitution 5
Nico Serrano ↓ · Yuri Berchiche ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
86'
Jesus Areso
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Athletic Club and Alaves drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 69% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 2, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +7.87 units (Brier 0.305).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.20 2.25 50% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.80 1.91 54% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.92 1.86 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.82 1.89 51% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 1.91 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.69 1.63 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.35 5.38 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 1.16 74% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.86 3.86 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.32 3.50 29% Cashed +2.32 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.29 1.33 75% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.04 91% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 1.28 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.78 3.95 24% Cashed +2.78 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 10.99 9% Cashed +8.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.42 3.19 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 1.23 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +7.87u +46% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ALA @ 2.20
+11.0%
Edge
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