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Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Alaves

Predictions by Market: Athletic Club vs Alaves

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 14:15
0:0
Full-time
Alaves
Alaves
W L L D L Away · last 5
San Mamés Stadium · Bilbao Referee Victor Garcia Verdura

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BIL
50%
Best 1.68
Draw
24%
Best 4.11
Away Win · ALA
26%
Best 5.60
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.20
Fair odds
1.98
book 2.20 · +11.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +11.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (74%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 26.3%
Odds 5.35
Show model details
Implied probability 18.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 29.3%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.4%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.42
Show model details
Implied probability 29.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.7%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.86
Show model details
Implied probability 25.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.5%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 73.7%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ALA @ 2.20
+11.0%
Edge
Forecast →